Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Skip to navigation. The two-time major winner has consistently been in the top 25, but that isn't going to cut it against the likes of Rahm, McIlroy and Scheffler. Skip to main content. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. Ill always look Steeles way on a course with straightforward greens complexes that mitigate any edge from stronger putters, and instead put a premium on ball striking. Hes clearly building toward a win with three top-six finishes in four starts in 2023, and if his short game continues to look like it did at the Genesis, that win is coming very soon. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. These odds are just too long to overlook for a player performing as well as he is right now. Riley Hamel. The 2021 John Deere Classic kicks off Thursday morning, with most of the PGA TOUR's best players already overseas for next week's major championship. Still, it was a profitable week at the Honda and we move forward. Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Lowry is built to grind out tough events, is good in the wind and loves himself a challenging course. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) For the first time this year, Zalatoris looks like himself again. ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL ODDS. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. From a golf betting perspective, this is not a week Im looking very closely at longshots, as nine of the last ten winners have opened between 10 to 55-1 odds. The faster the greens and harder the course the better chance Zalatoris has of victory. Latest Pre-Live FanDuel Massachusetts Promo: $100 Instantly! But despite all that, there is still one longshot whos made his way onto my outright card anyway, and its this man right here. Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). The 2022 tournament, the 86th edition, starts on Thursday 7th April and will conclude on Sunday 10th April. In the NFL, we handicap based on schedule and travel spots all the time, but it rarely gets discussed in golf. Hes not backing down. Based on the odds, lets look at some golf Theres been an interesting trend at the API over the past few years. Two prop bets AT&T Pebble Beach: Seamus Power. Additionally, Youngs short game has been in the toilet since the calendar flipped to 2023. Adam Scott has a stellar career record at the Genesis Invitational. Skip to navigation. I love to pounce on players that are coming off an MC in which they gained strokes in both ball-striking categories, which was the case for Matsuyama at Riviera. In terms of DFS, its much more necessary this week than most to identify the right value players when constructing your lineups, as it will be tempting to afford exposure to the top contenders in this weeks field in your lineups. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. The 2013 Masters champions odds-to-win the Genesis are +5500, which are better odds than you usually will find among our long-shot picks. Woods has never won at Riviera and enters the week at 150/1. Robby Shelton finished T21 as a heartbreaker for our Top 20 bet but we were strong in hitting Shane Lowry as a Top 10 and Lowry over Sungjae Im in a matchup. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. I love buying in on players that are coming off a week where they gained strokes in all four major categories, which is the exact type of well-rounded approach that is extremely necessary at a course like Bay Hill. And while Fleetwood has yet to win in the U.S., he does boast 21 top-10 finishes in his career and 33% of those have come in Florida, including three at this very course. Im no longer concerned about the injury as hes proven to look good recently, gaining 1.41 strokes tee-to-green over his last 20 rounds and coming up with a T4 at Riviera. There are many types of long shots when betting golf tournaments. After a disappointing finish at the Memorial earlier this month, Conners has a great opportunity to make up for missing the cut at last years U.S. Open. Lack: Sungjae Im (33-1, BetMGM) This is a pure situational fade for me. (Photo: Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via AP Images). Top 100 Courses in the U.S.: GOLFs all-new 2022-23 ranking is here! Hes trending toward another victory. The South Korean is extremely unlikely to beat this field and perhaps the more pragmatic move is to use him as a DFS option, a first-round leader dart or a top-20 play, but its hard to quit Benny An when his game is trending up. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. So, from a golf betting perspective, this doesnt feel like a week to have much optimism in the longshots outlook. So, its a week in which players will need to enter in polished tee-to-green form in order to contend. In his last five starts and first five tournaments on the PGA Tour in 2023, Rahm has three victories, a Top 3 and a T7 finish. Lets keep it rolling in Orlando. Hahn is a volatile player who wont jump off the stat sheet, but with top-10 finishes last season at TPC Twin Cities and TPC Craig Ranch, hes beginning to show a trend in favoring the TPC-style, risk-reward layouts. I was tempted to play Gary Woodland at +12500 in the PGA Championship Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule, MGC Extends Deadline For Diversity, Kiosk Studies, Minnesota Lawmakers Advance HF 2000 In House Committee. To put that into perspective, thats better than Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an individual tournament. Powers, Golf Digest: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) Im normally a if you can get JT at 20-1 or better, take it) guy, but Im just not loving what were seeing from him so far this season. He has the ball-striking to put together a strong showing at Bay Hill, and while the putter is still hit-or-miss, its not nearly as bad as it used to be. 4 Potential PGA TOUR Golf Sleeper Picks: BMW Championship. Honda: Chris Kirk. Keegan is also one of the best in proximity on Par 3:150-200 yards, so he should have what it takes to survive the infamous Bear Trap, which features two par 3s measuring 179 and The event tees off Thursday, and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. Gehman: Jason Day (+335, BetRivers) Call it a resurgence or call it whatever you wantDay is playing some of the best golf on tour right now. Now everybodys hopping off at 65-1? Who are you taking? READ MORE: Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer. World No. BetMGM Announces Responsible Gaming Advertising Strategy, Ohio Sports Betting Promos: Illinois Fighting Illini at OSU Buckeyes Odds. List ranks top-20 in many of the key categories for the demanding test in store at Bay Hill, including Driving Distance, SG: OTT, Prox 200+ and Par-4: 450-500. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. You read that correctly: Not only did he finish T4 last year, but he also won the Genesis Invitational in 2020. Zozo: Sungjae Im. The greatest party in golf is here this week as we continue our handicapping of 2023 WM Phoenix Open odds, AKA Wasted Management, AKA The Peoples Open at TPC Scottsdale. Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with PGA Tour picks, Bradley finished alone in 2nd at Torrey Pines this season and tied for 20th a week later in Phoenix, so hes trending up despite missing the cut at Riviera. Caddie: Max Homa (+130) over Scottie Scheffler (DraftKings) Homas ball-striking is in an elite category right now, and theres no reason to believe he shouldnt keep up his hot form. Tee times in this area. McIlroy is intimately familiar with Bay Hill, though, as a past champion (2018) and with no finish worse than T13 in the past five starts here. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. Instead, McDonald is jumping on several severalunderdogs, including two MASSIVE longshots of well over 80-1! World No. Prior to Hovland, Mayakoba has been a week for middle- to longshots. That combination served him fairly well in his 2022 debut where he finished T42. A former two-time intern, he also helps keep GOLF.com humming outside the news-breaking stories and service content provided by our reporters and writers, and works with the tech team in the development of new products and innovative ways to deliver an engaging site to our audience. The results make sense, considering a profile of elite ball striking from deficient putters has been the formula historically at this event across winners like Hideki Matsuyama, Kyle Stanley, and Kevin Stadler. Gehman: Sahith Theegala (+100) over Shane Lowry (DraftKings) Theegala is getting more consistent as a professional, making the cut in nine straight events while earning four top-10s in the process. As the elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots. An impressive 44 of the top 50 players in the Official World Golf Rankings are set to tee off at Bay Hill on Thursday. Hes dropped strokes to the field driving and on approach in consecutive events for the first time since earning his full tour card, but the long irons have continued to be much better than the field, and while distance is always going to be lacking, his accuracy continues to be elite. Since the start of the season, hes gaining 1.86 strokes per roundthird to only Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images). As for Tyrrell Hatton, hes quietly been playing phenomenally this season, with a T40 and T6 at the Genesis and Phoenix, respectively, showing up at the elevated events. Rory McIlroy has become a horse at The Kings place, finishing 13th or better in seven of eight appearances. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. ESPN+. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. Scotts last four starts at Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7. Putnam ranks top-15 in Good Drives Gained, Bogey Avoidance, Scrambling Gained, and SG: P, all good signs for a potential top-30 or top-40 push. But we have our eyes on another former Masters champ as our long-shot bet to win. Mayakoba: Thomas Detry. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. The Wake Forest star remains one of the best drivers of the ball on long golf courses, as well as one of the best long iron players in the field. Steeles course history includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the last 11 years. Touts are lame. Gdula: Tony Finau (+240, FanDuel) Its such a good field that even the top 10 will be hard for long shots to squeeze into with much success. Written By John Haslbauer on August 16, 2022. If I was designing a golf course specifically for Cameron Youngs skill-set, it would look a whole lot like Bay Hill, as the 26-year-old remains one of the most dominant drivers of the ball in the world and an excellent long iron player. Sara, Drew, the NBC Sports EDGE crew and special guests will provide listeners with unique statistical data, trends and pro For a deeper dive into the course, read my WM Phoenix Open preview. From 2012 to 2019, it took double-digits under par to win the event, but the last three winners were Tyrrell Hatton at 4-under, Bryson DeChambeau at 11-under and Scheffler at 5-under. Now, McDonald has sifted through the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field for the best value and locked in his best bets and favorites to avoid. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. ESPN+. Joaquin Niemann, Max Homa, J.B. Holmes and Bubba Watson four of the last five champions at Riviera were priced at 50/1 or longer, with Holmes available at 140/1 in some places. Pick to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational (0.5 Units): Rory McIlroy (+950). As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. If youve been reading this column over the past month or so, youve been cashing tickets. No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000. Combine that with his form and I think hes in line for another great showing. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. Pendrith is one of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT. 2nd Chance Bet Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. McIlroy (19-2) and Scheffler (11-1) also are top contenders in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field, followed by Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1) and Justin Thomas (23-1). I was tempted to play Gary Woodland at +12500 in the PGA Championship Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. (Pat Mayo also had runner-up Eric Cole as a +900 top-10 bet.) On several severalunderdogs, including two MASSIVE longshots of well over 80-1 over the past years. In for a player performing as well as he is a passionate golf,... Riviera look like this week at the Genesis Invitational has of victory, look. But we have our eyes on another former Masters champ as our long-shot.... 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