On the other side of the ledger we have people who deride any concerns as alarmist, the fish bowl syndrome. These are among the powerful predictions the world looks set to face as it comes to grip with new powers, financial slowdowns and emerging economies. The PLAN is still in the process of mastering out-of-area major battle group deployments. In the meantime China will continue to invade Australia from an economic perspective and this will have a triad attached: to enable China to exert influence on regional strategic partnerships; to establish China and A-P multilateral deals that actively encourage the use of the Renminbi (sometimes called the Yuan), as a source of collateral; and to pro-actively downgrade Australia-US military commitments and partnerships. Finally, the question of possibly fielding long-range interceptors under AIR 6500 Phase 2 as the future component of the Joint Integrated Air and Missile Defence (JIAMD) capability could be brought forward. And as we are such a heavily multi-cultural community, I dont think anyone notices anymore, whos who or where they came from, except maybe for their accents. There is however, more to all of these events in terms of them being simply categorized as overt acts of violence that have a focused outcome namely territorial acquisition through force and it is within this spectrum that Senator Lambie alludes to, that can be given a perspective. Image: Li Gang/Xinhua via Getty Images. They just borrow from a world voracious for dollars. There ya go. You can donate through PayPal or credit card via the button below, or donate via bank transfer: Your email address will not be published. This raises again the question of alliance obligation, and the subsequent need by Washington to make it very clear to China that an attack on Australia will trigger an allied response. Ill give a dollar to anyone who actually read all that. CAMP FOSTER, Okinawa A former Japanese military officer recently made waves after saying he believes China plans to invade and annex Taiwan by 2025 and Okinawa by 2045. Australia also has rare earths and God knows what PNG has still yet? Reported suspensions would cut Australian exports by up to $6 billion. The old Roman claim si vis pacem, para bellum if you want peace, prepare for war - is as relevant now as before, and is yet to be answered with confidence. Sheesh if only they had known the brakes were off and the war machine would just keep rolling along. @ stephengb: I cannot hep wondering why discussions about taxation. There is no reason to think that if Australia continues on its current pathway of antagonism in the region especially toward Muslim countries that there would be enough impetus for China to believe a limited invasion would not be successful. ASIO chief David Irvine says the threat to Australia is now a very elevated level of medium and could hes seriously considering upping it to high. Think on this I heard on ABC Radio. Martin Brewster a retired squadron leader in the Royal Australian Airforce explains in the clip that the airstrip is just 30km from the busy port of Cape Preston. News By Simon Green Assistant Editor (Digital) 15:20, 15 FEB 2019 Updated 20:17, 15 FEB 2019 Video Loading United Australia Party leader warns of Chinese takeover In the first instance an Asian nation has never presented such a symbolic threat to Western hegemony; and secondly, never has an Asian nation had the actual potential to follow through in a sustained/long tern way with military force. Some critics argue that China has an ageing population, that is correct, but also China has a growing Middle-class and needs/wants more resources, and the resources from neighbouring Russia wont be enough! document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Beyond incompetence and corruption Untroubled by the burdens of either wit or intelligence the embaldened tubermensch who, for now, leads the, Alan Tudge is leaving Parliament. For Russia, China and India this looks like a win/win. Youll like it even more knowing that your donation will help us to keep up the good fight. A new survey released Tuesday by the Lowy Institute, a foreign policy research group, found only a slim majority of Australians supported military action in the event of a Chinese invasion of . All of these instances have had the enduring effect of proving Western liberal-democracy is the most venerable and robust of all governments and governance. Simply unbelievable that our parliament is now dominated by self serving [insert adjective]. The wild claims continue later in the advert, with former Royal Australian Navy commander Phil Collins saying it has the facilities to support and sustain large-scale naval operations. CMMC, I fully agree with your summation,perfect.Could not have put it clearer myself. China has issued yet another warning to Australia following its participation in a seven-day naval exercise with French, US and Japanese allies. War is a fools game and China knows it. After all its our back yard. On April 25, the symbolic date of Anzac Day, when Australia honors its war dead, newly appointed Defense Minister Peter Dutton said a conflict with China over Taiwan shouldn't "be discounted,". An Australian Institute survey of 1,000 people each in Australia and Taiwan found one in 10 Australians believed China would invade their country "soon" compared to one in 20 Taiwanese people. Now, try to find out where all our Gold and other more precious commodities have been going and then why our Conservative US backed Governments have sold out our Reserves? Its attempts to economically coerce Australia into its geopolitical orbit should disturb. It is unlikely that the PLA will risk using its ageing strategic bomber force as a long-range offensive asset against Australia. Prior to making any judgements this mix of pros and cons has to be examined more closely, starting with the former. Domestic harmony is also part of the PRCs aim. Although this is an ongoing discussion, more action is possible now. And dont forget we have quite a reputation for kicking but when we are down. Long March Out of China. The Australian, Melbourne: Murdoch Media, 19 August, 2014, 9. The rhetoric of our warmongering PM and Foreign Minister put us in more danger of invasion from a variety of countries than the twittering of the PUP ratbags. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it," Mr Shugart warns. Just $5 a month. Military Invasion alert after China crosses line. These aircraft would be out of fuel and would probably have exhausted their missiles and bombs, Dr Huisken said. China must be offered a bigger role in the Asia-Pacific. The Age, Melbourne: Fairfax Publishing Ltd, 10 June, 2014, 16. Reduction of our options, in order to protect a Foreign Interest and our consideration of the other options open to us, is most likely. And the gold and silver theyve vacuumed up in recent years rise in value more than enough to offset their depreciating Treasury bonds. [3] http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-26/an-new-chinese-map-gives-greater-play-to-south-china-sea-claims/5550914 Australia Network News, 26 June, 2014. Given the absence of layered air defence capability (AD) in the ADFs order of battle, including long-range AD systems, in theory it can wage long-range missile strikes against our key land targets (defence installations, strategic surveillance communication facilities, possibly large population centres), even though it may risk escalation to an open confrontation with the United States. A superior force could, by definition, prevail in any circumstances, but flying combat aircraft into these company airfields is sensational nonsense, he said. This factor, in the first instance is where there are ongoing and developing difficulties. Tensions between Beijing and Canberra have been heightened in recent months by a trade war and a blame game over the . Subscribe to ADM Premium. It is important to realize there are real crazies with positions of power in the US and we seem to be following suit. According to Prof Blaxland, the old truths that have kept Australia safe from invasion - except for the colonial project beginning in 1788 - are still in play. Blunt threats made in Chinese mainstream media, and more recent remarks by an Australian senator- that the ADF is unlikely to last even a few days in a high-end conflict with China - warrant yet another examination of Australias strategic circumstances and the likelihood of an attack on mainland Australia. That's according to Dr Malcolm Davis, a senior analyst from the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), who is an expert on defence strategy and capability issues. China is expanding in the same way Britain did during the IR and has resulted in it being keen to stamp its authority on the A-P region and what is important to Australia is that the trajectory of China has had two specific outcomes: China is becoming a military and economic juggernaut and had established the A-P as its epicentre; and this has resulted in the panicking of the US. "Our judgement at least is that (China's . The present Lambie redneck doctrine of Invasion by China or Indonesia harks back to Menzies and his yellow peril election Arrows and like the Menzies arrows Lambies redneck doctrine is just a ploy to stay elected. For peace to come about either locally or globally, a major reappraisal of Language and all the edifices of modern life are called into question. When Australia had the temerity to call for an independent inquiry into the origins of COVID-19 last year, China was incensed. China to INVADE Australia? Fairfax Media: Melbourne, 11 August, 2011, 13. [5] Andrew Browne. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. Notify me of follow-up comments by email. China has been quick to capitalise on this with gaining deeper connections with Indonesia. I agree that corporatisation is our greatest threat and the problem is that only governments can protect us by way of regulation. Beijing could be doubting its ability to invade Taiwan considering Russia's attempts at invading Ukraine, according to CIA Director William Burns. All of the its fighting elements are in the process of qualitative force transformations, which would continue to provide the ADFs operators with the technological edge. Australia cut. Look at her picture and there you will see the face of extremism, ignorance and arrogant racism. We are at no immediate risk of invasion nobody in the region has anything like the force projection capability required to put tens of thousands of set of boots anywhere of strategic value on our land mass, let alone sustain the supply chain long enough to sustain even a brief campaign. Overall, this has been successful as poverty has fallen from 26% in 2007 to 7% in 2012. The maximum upload file size: 2 MB. The likely conflict arises because the US is unwilling to allow any other country to be its equal, and having subdued the Soviet Union the US is determined to subdue China, regardless of the US having no real role in Asia but as a meddler. The ADF should be readying itself for a conflict with a major military power. Thanks to geography, any scenario involving an attack on mainland Australia can only be seriously entertained in the context of assessing adversarial power projection capabilities, including strategic lift. China over the next decade will be dealing with its expansion in the A-P region in a much softer way, as it has done in the region generally, and in Africa and Oceania. Editorial warns Australia may suffer further economic pain. Kaye Lee, Nail hit firmly on the head. The most astonishing assertion by one analyst was that "Australia has a fundamental strategic pathology - to support the interests of the U.S. at the expense of our own. This article was first posted on Strobes blog Geo-Strategic Orbit and has been reproduced with permission. Countries like Australia need to be careful how they take sides especially with the appalling record of intervention by the US. The airport is attached to an iron ore mine privately run by Chinese mining company CITIC. Australia has fallen out with China in recent years over significant geopolitical issues, including Beijing's territorial ambitions in the South China Sea and the COVID-19 pandemic. To be sure the French before Britain used this method, and since post-1945 the US has followed a similar trajectory with its domination of world markets through the Marshall Plan, the Bretton-Woods agreement which allowed America to essentially dominate the worlds free market, are examples of heavy-handed polity. To be sure, this is a step further than the fiscal invasion of the Chinese that was hinted at prior to the election of the Abbott government, which directly dealt with the number of Chinese investments in Australia especially with regard to landholdings/farming which was driven by the somewhat xenophobic Nationals under the guise and umbrella of who owns what in Australia. Free market squabbling aside, and the prejudices inherent within this argument about the marketplace, the issue that needs to be examined is whether there is a modicum of truth in what Lambie has stated. has pretty much incorporated ALL of the globe in reference, and at times seems to be just all over the place. Australians must face the fact that China is determined to invade Taiwan and in a China-dominated region we won't enjoy the freedoms we assume are our birthright. Or so it seems. The US, their nemesis in the Great Game, is diminished. Any attempt from the government of the day to object or renige on what has been done will be met by a Chinese military presence defending the assets it has purchased. Read more. WILD: An Australian politician has made a bizarre claim about a small airstrip in the desert, IMPORTANT: The video pointed out the airstrip's proximity to the port of Cape Preston. The Transformation of China. The Agenda. The petrodollar became the currency in which oil and most other goods were traded internationally, requiring every central bank and major corporation to hold a lot of dollars and cementing the greenbacks status as the worlds reserve currency. The idea of an invasion being the only pathway to gaining political and geographical advantage is in part due to the popular media being awash with images of war comprising fast moving conflicts that escalate quickly, are both broad-front/symmetrical and asymmetrical, extremely violent and intense and have the ever-present element of collateral damage (read: civilian deaths) in the race for armies or militias to establish their strategic footprint/s. 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